During the past several weeks, we’ve seen news headlines dominated by everything from extreme weather to heightened geopolitical risks, with speculation on policy changes in the U.S. an ongoing hot topic. With so many events competing for our attention, how do we know where to focus?
As investors, it’s important that as we acknowledge the impact of these worldwide events, we remember to separate our personal sentiment from our investment strategy. This can be easier said than done, which is why it’s important to rely on trusted economic and market indicators to guide us in the right direction. In other words, focus on fundamentals. The fundamental backdrop for the economy and markets continues to look solid, indicating that the market should be able to weather the ups and downs brought on by the dizzying news flow. Earnings estimates remain strong and economic indicators suggest that the potential for a recession this year or next remains low—both of which reduce the odds that a small correction turns into a big one.
Against this generally favorable backdrop, the stock market has continued its steady advance—going 10 months since the last 3% decline. While the market environment is positive, we should watch for a potential pullback. It’s healthy for a market to experience small declines, as a way to refresh and set up the next move higher. But be mindful that pullbacks can often be accompanied by potentially unnerving headlines, which is why it’s important to be prepared for them and remember the fundamentals.
As is often the case in today’s world, we are faced with a myriad of concerns and headlines that could distract us from our long-term investment strategy. I will continue to monitor these key economic, market, and policy factors and assess how they may impact your portfolio and what, if any, changes should be made.
Our emotions naturally tend to influence our actions, but with a well-thought-out plan and the right guidance, we can ensure that we stay on course to reach our goals.
Our emotions naturally tend to influence our actions, but with a well-thought-out plan and the right guidance, we can ensure that we stay on course to reach our goals. As always, please contact me with any questions you may have at www.calendly.com/retirement or 805-880-9444.
Bryan Foronjy is a registered representative with, and securities offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advice offered through Strategic Wealth Advisors Group LLC, a registered investment advisor. Strategic Wealth Advisors Group LLC and Foronjy Financial are separate entities from LPL Financial.
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The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual security. To determine which investment(s) may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor prior to investing. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly.
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Economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted.
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Securities offered through LPL Financial LLC. Member FINRA/SIPC.
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